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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 16 October 21
DESPITE HIGHER COAL PRICES, U.S. COAL RECOVERY LOOKS WEAK BY MOST MEASURES - IEEFA
U.S. coal sector is locked into a long-term sectoral decline
Coal prices have surged to the highest level in years in the U.S., and have soare ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
COAL IS 'KING' AS GAS PRICES SOAR, TOTAL CEO SAYS - AND IT’S BACKFIRING ON CLEANER ENERGY GOALS - CNBC
Surging natural gas prices have led to a jump in coal use, with plants in Europe and Asia firing back up as temperatures decline and the world grap ...
Saturday, 16 October 21
VIETNAM'S COAL-FIRED POWER MAY DOUBLE BY 2030 UNDER DRAFT ENERGY PLAN - REUTERS
Vietnam may double the amount of coal-fired electric generation it installs by 2030 under a draft power development plan submitted to the prime min ...
Friday, 15 October 21
AUSTRALIA'S WHITEHAVEN EXPECTS TO BE DEBT-FREE NEXT YEAR AS COAL PRICES SOAR - REUTERS
Australia’s Whitehaven Coal WHC.AX said on Thursday it expects to be debt-free by early 2022, as thermal coal prices surge to record highs on ...
Friday, 15 October 21
WINTER CHILL KEEPS CHINA'S COAL PRICES HIGH, POWER CRUNCH STOKES INFLATION - REUTERS
China coal prices held near record highs on Thursday as cold weather swept into the country’s north and power plants stocked up on the fuel t ...
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
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