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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 13 October 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Following up on our insight on May 2021, where we discussed about the Capesize market outlook for the second half of the year, we are pleased to se ...
Wednesday, 13 October 21
FBX INDEX: THE IMPOSSIBILITY OF SHORT-TERM FORECASTING - LARS JENSEN
Will freight rates on Asia-Europe or the Transpacific reach 40.000 USD/FFE in the run-up prior to Chinese New Year 2022? Or will they start droppin ...
Wednesday, 13 October 21
CHINA FLOODS: COAL PRICE HITS FRESH HIGH AS MINES SHUT - BBC
The price of coal used in China’s power plants has surged to a new record high as another of the country’s key mining regions is hit by ...
Tuesday, 12 October 21
BUMA SIGNS CONDITIONAL AGREEMENT FOR AUSTRALIAN ASSET ACQUISITION
PT Tbk. announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama, through its newly incorporated Australian subsidiary, BUMA International Pty ...
Tuesday, 12 October 21
INDONESIA'S COAL-BASED POWER PLANTS ARE SUBJECT TO CARBON TAX NEXT YEAR, ELECTRICITY COSTS COULD RISE! - CNBC
The Indonesian government is planning plans to implement a carbon tax of IDR 30 per kilogram (kg) of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) or equivalent ...
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- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Planning Commission, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
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