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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 22 October 21
CHINA WANTS TO COOL COAL PRICES. SIMILAR MOVES FOR METALS, CRUDE FAILED - REUTERS
China’s latest attempt to lower runaway commodity prices, this time for thermal coal, is likely to follow a familiar pattern of initial succe ...
Friday, 22 October 21
HARD COAL REMAINS AN IMPORTANT FACTOR FOR SECURITY OF SUPPLY - COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION, GERMANY
- Hard coal remains an important factor for security of supply
- Increase of around 35% in hard-coal-fired power generation in the first three ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA'S COAL SHORTAGE TO EASE IN COMING MONTHS, INDUSTRY BODY SAYS - REUTERS
China’s coal shortage will likely ease in coming months, with domestic production and imports already showing signs of picking up, a coal ind ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
CHINA'S RAW COAL OUTPUT DROPS IN SEPTEMBER - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output dropped 0.9 percent year on year to 330 million tonnes last month, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) ...
Wednesday, 20 October 21
OVER-RELIANCE ON COAL IN OUR POWER MIX HURTING INDIA - LIVEMINT
In spite of the renewables push, coal still accounts for about 50% of India’s installed power capacity. That means a simultaneous demand and ...
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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