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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 15 October 21
GLOBAL STEEL DEMAND GROWTH DOWNGRADED FOR 2021 DUE TO CHINA - WORLD STEEL ASSOCIATION
The World Steel Association (worldsteel) today released an update of its Short Range Outlook (SRO) for 2021 and 2022. worldsteel forecasts that ste ...
Thursday, 14 October 21
SPIKING COAL PRICES: DON’T BLAME THE ENERGY TRANSITION - IEEFA
Volatility highlights urgency for renewables-based energy solutions
“Energy crisis.” The phrase evokes nearly-forgotten ...
Thursday, 14 October 21
EIA FORECASTS U.S. COAL PRODUCTION TOTALS 588 MMST IN 2021, UP 53 MMST YOY
U.S. coal production in EIA's forecasts totals 588 million short tons (MMst) in 2021, 53 MMst more than in 2020.
According ...
Wednesday, 13 October 21
COAL PRICES ARE ROARING BACK AMID A GLOBAL ENERGY CRUNCH - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
Soaring coal prices have placed Australia’s mining and energy exports on track to reach a record $349 billion this year evenas the value of t ...
Wednesday, 13 October 21
CHINA ISN'T THE ONLY HUGE ASIAN ECONOMY WITH A COAL SHORTAGE NOW - CNBC
China is not the only Asian giant grappling with an energy crunch — India is also teetering on the edge of a power crisis.
Mos ...
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Coal Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
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