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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 23 October 12
INDONESIA SETS DMO FOR NEXT YEAR
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government has declared the quantity of coal to be supplied to domestic market in 2013 recently under DMO regulation. ...
Sunday, 21 October 12
BUMA HAS PRODUCED 25.0 MILLION TONS OF COAL YEAR TO DATE
COALspot.com - PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk., has removed 33.2 million bcm* (+5.5% YoY) of Overburden in September 2012 totaled while coal produc ...
Saturday, 20 October 12
SUPRAMAX FREIGHT EXPECTED TO BE FLAT - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The shipping market continued to be quite active with quite lot of cargoes fixed for in the cape and panamax sector.
The BDI was ...
Thursday, 18 October 12
INDO-INDIA, LARGE ECO SUPRA FIXED AT USD 11000 - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
Atlantic market remains quiet due to lack of cargoes and more supply of ships. Rates from Cont to East Med were around USD 14k and Black Sea ...
Tuesday, 16 October 12
DRY BULK FREIGHT RATES COULD IMPROVE ON CHINESE STIMULUS AND WINTER CARGO DEMAND SAYS BIMCO - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
BIMCO has given out its forecast for the next six weeks, in terms of freight rates for dry bulk carriers. According to them, Capesize TC Average rat ...
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- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The University of Queensland
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
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