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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 29 October 12
US COAL EXPORTS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 125 MILLION TONS THIS YEAR - EIA
COALspot.com - US coal exports are expected to reach 125 million tons this year, surpassing the old record of about 113 million tons set in 1981, sa ...
Sunday, 28 October 12
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS (FOB ) FOR DECEMBER 2012 DELIVERY STAYED FLAT D-D
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for December 2012 delivery flat on D-D but gained 0.38 percent on W-W on Friday, 26 October 2012, ...
Sunday, 28 October 12
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT MARKET FAIRLY STEADY - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The Cape size sector continued to remain active with iron ore movement being steady. All other sectors were down.
The BDI was up b ...
Friday, 26 October 12
SHIPPING MARKETS HEADING FOR DIVISION AND MULTI-TIER WILL BECOME THE NORM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
It seems that something is expected to be fundamentally different in the way that the shipping markets will be operating in the future, according to ...
Friday, 26 October 12
DRY BULK MARKET FALLS ON WORRIES THAT RECENT RALLY WILL BE SHORTLIVED - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market retreated yesterday as a result of a plunge of the Capesize dry bulk carriers' segment, after their latest rally. As a result, ...
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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