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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 04 November 12
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS FOR DECEMBER' 12 DELIVERY FALLS TO $ 59.78
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for December 2012 delivery fell -1.02 percent on WoW but gained 0.08 percent on D-D on Friday, 2 ...
Saturday, 03 November 12
THE SUPRAMAX FREIGHT EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week the market remained soft with all the sectors soft.
The BDI and was down by 6 pct closing at 986 points. The cape index ...
Saturday, 03 November 12
DEMOLITION IS THE KEY FOR DRY BULK SHIPPING'S RECOVERY SAYS SHIPBROKER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
With the number of new building deliveries so far in 2012 already having surpassed the total of 2011, it's more than clear that the dry bulk sector ...
Thursday, 01 November 12
INDONESIA HAS REVISED DOWN ITS 2012 DOMESTIC MARKET OBLIGATION REQUIREMENT FOR COAL
COALspot.com - Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources of Indonesia has revised down its 2012 domestic market obligation requirement due to lower d ...
Thursday, 01 November 12
SOUTH KOREAN POWER UTILITY EWP TO PURCHASE 670,000 MT OF COAL FOR JAN - FEB 2013 DELIVERY
COALspot.com: Korea East-West Power Co. Ltd. on behalf of Korea South-East Power Co. Ltd., Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd., Korea Midland Power Co. Lt ...
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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