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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 25 November 12
INDONESIA TO INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE FIRM - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market was buoyant this week with all sectors up except for the Cape size index. The BDI was up by 5.21 pct closing at 10 ...
Sunday, 25 November 12
INDONESIAN SUB BITUMINOUS COAL SWAP CONTRACTS SLIDE
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for February 2013 delivery lost 0.76percent WoW but gained 0.16 percent DoD on Friday ...
Saturday, 24 November 12
DELTA DUNIA MAKMUR PRODUCES 3.2 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN OCTOBER
COALspot.com - PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk., has removed 31.1 million bcm* (-4.0% YoY) of Overburden in October 2012 totaled while coal production was ...
Friday, 23 November 12
CHOOSING THE RIGHT TIME TO INVEST IN NEW VESSELS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Shipping is all about timing, a process often rising to the height of artform, as ship owners are having to pick the exact moment of selling most of ...
Thursday, 22 November 12
HANDY: INDO-INDIA, LARGE ECO SUPRA NOW FIXED AT USD 12500 - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The north Continent is seeing plenty of tonnages but lack of cargoes. TA business are around 11k and fronthaul is around 17k.Tonnages has tig ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The University of Queensland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
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