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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 04 December 12
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 55.88 PERCENT MORE COAL W/E 3 DECEMBER 2012
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,796,341 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 3 December 2012, Newca ...
Sunday, 02 December 12
YEAR 2013, YEAR OF SUPPLY OR DEMAND?
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1 2013 delivery gained 2.87 & 0.83 percent MoM and WoW respectively ...
Saturday, 01 December 12
TIGHT SUPPLY, DEMAND PUSH INDO-INDIA SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES HIGHER - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market was mixed this week as cape and Panamax indices are closing softer.
The BDI was down 0.37 pct closing at 1,086 ...
Friday, 30 November 12
FUTURE TREND OF SECOND HAND SHIP VALUES PUZZLING SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
One of the major challenges that ship owners are facing today is whether or not to invest in a second hand vessel at any given time. For instance, i ...
Friday, 30 November 12
IS INDONESIAN COAL INDUSTRY DEPENDS HEAVILY ON INDIA AND CHINA?
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world largest multi grade coal exporter, shipped 35,143,587* tons of coal in October 2012. October exports are 19 ...
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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