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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 22 November 12
DRY BULK MARKET RISE, BUT OUTLOOK SEEN DIM ON THE BACK OF RECORD NEW BUILDING DELIVERIES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been under hefty pressure since the start of the year, as a result of record newbuilding deliveries and below-par demand for ...
Wednesday, 21 November 12
LITTLE IMPACT FROM DISSOLUTION OF BP MIGAS ON INDONESIAN OIL & GAS COMPANIES - FITCH
Fitch Ratings has said that the recent court order to abolish the Indonesian upstream oil and gas regulator, BP Migas, has minimal immediate impact ...
Wednesday, 21 November 12
ORPHEUS ENERGY SECURES FIRST COAL OFF TAKE CONTRACT
COALspot.com - Orpheus Energy Limited (ASX:OEG) has announced that it has signed a coal sales contract with an Indonesian steel manufacturing compan ...
Tuesday, 20 November 12
AUSTRALIAN NEWCASTLE PORT HAS LOADED 13.18 PERCENT LESS COAL W-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,691,731 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 19 November 2012, Newc ...
Monday, 19 November 12
GOVT PREPARES TO FACE ANOTHER SUIT ON MINING LAW - THE JAKARTA POST
The government is gearing up to face a complaint on the 2009 Mining Law prepared by the same organization that previously brought down upstream oil ...
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- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The University of Queensland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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