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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 19 November 12
IHS MCCLOSKEY ASIA PACIFIC COAL OUTLOOK CONFERENCE 2012
With the current global oversupply of thermal coal showing no signs of abating and spot prices falling to a two-year low, concerns are growing that ...
Sunday, 18 November 12
INDONESIAN SUB BITUMINOUS COAL SWAPS FOR JANUARY 2013 DELIVERY GAINS 1.29 PERCENT WOW
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for January 2013 delivery gains 1.29 percent WoW and 0.25 percent DoD on Friday, 16 Novembe ...
Saturday, 17 November 12
THE SUPRAMAX FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA ARE EXPECTED TO BE UP NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This week market sentiments ended positive with all the segments ending higher except for handy size which was almost at same levels ...
Saturday, 17 November 12
RECORD DEMOLITION ACTIVITY SEEKS TO CURB TONNAGE OVERSUPPLY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
This year will prove to be another record-breaker in terms of scrapping of older vessels across all shipping segments, as the equally feverish pace ...
Friday, 16 November 12
SHIP OWNERS KEEP ON INVESTING IN SECOND HAND VESSELS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Priced attractively, modern and with prompt delivery dates, second hand vessels are proving to be rather popular among cash-rich ship owners these d ...
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The University of Queensland
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- White Energy Company Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parliament of New Zealand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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