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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 December 12
69.23 PERCENT OF END-USERS ARE BELIEVE, COAL PRICES ARE IN UPWARD TREND
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government’s declared coal reference price for December’ 12 has gained US cents 31 per MT M-o- ...
Wednesday, 12 December 12
CAPESIZE FREIGHT RATES TO RANGE BETWEEN $9,000 - 16,000/DAY IN THE COMING WEEKS SAYS BIMCO - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In its regular update on the dry bulk market, BIMCO forecasted yesterday, that Capesize time-charter rates are expected to stay elevated in the foll ...
Tuesday, 11 December 12
NEWCASTLE PORT IN AUSTRALIA HAS LOADED 2,720,205 MT OF COAL W/E 10 DECEMBER 2012
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,720,205 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 10 December 2012, Newc ...
Sunday, 09 December 12
COAL SWAPS HAVE LOST DIRECTION DUE TO LACK OF ASIAN INTEREST
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q1’ 2013 delivery gained 2.43 percent M-M but lost WoW by 0.54 percent and 0.62 ...
Sunday, 09 December 12
LOW DEMAND PUSHES CHARTER RATES TOWARDS DOWN - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market has softened and BDI, The Baltic Dry Index, a measure of shipping costs for dry bulk goods, plunged below 10 ...
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
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