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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 07 December 12
A NEW PHASE FOR AUSTRALIAN RESOURCES - A FITCH STREET INTERVIEW
This week Matt Jamieson spoke with Andrew Colquhoun in Fitch's Asian sovereign rating team, and Vicky Melbourne, Fitch's commodity analyst based i ...
Friday, 07 December 12
SHIPPING INDUSTRY LOOKING ON YET ANOTHER TOUGH YEAR AS WE APPROACH 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With shipping finance "on the ropes" as traditional lenders appear to be cutting their losses and tonnage oversupply still the most import ...
Thursday, 06 December 12
PANAMAX : THE POSITIVE VIBES IN THE ATLANTIC REMAINS - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Atlantic market is still depressed with dearth of cargoes and more ships. The trips from Continent to Feast fixed around USD 12k. Trips f ...
Thursday, 06 December 12
STRONG CHINESE DEMAND FOR DRY BULK COMMODITIES EXPECTED FOR 2013 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A new analysis from BIMCO released yesterday suggests that 2013 is expected to be a stronger year in terms of China's "hunger" for commod ...
Tuesday, 04 December 12
JATENERGY SIGNS MOU FOR INDONESIAN COAL ASSET
COALspot.com - Jatenergy Limited has announced that its fully-owned Indonesian subsidiary, PT Barata Energy (BE), has signed an exclusive, non-bindi ...
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The University of Queensland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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