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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 24 January 13
DRY BULK MARKET FALLS ON TROPICAL CYCLONE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been on the downside during the past couple of days, mainly as a result of the tropical storm which forced ports to close do ...
Tuesday, 22 January 13
PORT OF ANTWERP HANDLES 7.0 PERCENT MORE COAL IN 2012 Y-Y
COALspot.com - The port of Antwerp handled 184,134,516 tonnes of freight last year.
This represents a drop of 1.6% compared with 2011, when the v ...
Monday, 21 January 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 10.21 PERCENT LESS COAL W/E 21 JANUARY 2013
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,804,152 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 21 January 2013, Newca ...
Monday, 21 January 13
PANAMAX DRY BULK CARRIERS AND AFRAMAX TANKERS PROVED TO BE THE "WEAPON OF CHOICE" FOR MOST SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
With ship financing getting ever so difficult to procure during the past year or so, ship owners had to get creative in order to persuade banks and ...
Sunday, 20 January 13
Q1 & Q4 SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: FIRM
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) and CFR South China coal shipment for average Q1’ 2013 delivery have gained 0.81percent and ...
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- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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