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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 February 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 23.01 PERCENT MORE COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,967,761 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 11 February 2013, Newc ...
Sunday, 10 February 13
INDONESIA SUB-BIT SWAPS: "UP" - CFR SOUTH CHINA SWAPS: "DOWN"
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for average Q2’ 2013 delivery has gained 0.72 percent W-O-W and CFR South China coal shipme ...
Sunday, 10 February 13
DRY BULK OVERSUPPLY OF TONNAGE SEEN WANING IN THE COMING MONTHS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
It seems that the tide could be shifting in the dry bulk market, in terms of tonnage oversupply, according to the latest data figures. This could ex ...
Sunday, 10 February 13
HIGHER BUNKER PRICE PUSHES SEA FREIGHTS FIRM - REDDY
COALspot.com - The freight market was soft and all at same levels with Chinese year holidays next week.
The BDI was slightly down by 0.27 pct ad ...
Friday, 08 February 13
NORTH P&I CLUB WARNS OF LIQUEFACTION RISK FOR BAUXITE CARGOES
The ‘A’ rated 170 million GT North P&I club has warned shipowners carrying bauxite aluminium ore cargoes that they have the potentia ...
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- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
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