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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 15 February 13
SCRAPPING TO RISE AS BULKER OWNERS SUFFER - DREWRY MARITIME RESEARCH
Drewry's latest Dry Bulk Forecaster report suggests that cash-strapped shipowners will scrap younger and younger ships this year as the dry bulk ma ...
Thursday, 14 February 13
HANDY: ATLANTIC "STABLE"; PACIFIC "QUIET" - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic remain stable with rates for FH from USG around USD 18k. The Pacific remains quiet due to Chinese New Year holidays. Rates were ...
Thursday, 14 February 13
BIMCO FORECASTS MOSTLY HIGHER DRY BULK RATES FOR THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Higher steel demand is expected to keep dry bulk rates elevated during the next six weeks, according to the latest BIMCO forecast. The Organization ...
Wednesday, 13 February 13
6TH ANNUAL CBM CONFERENCE
The 6th Annual CBM conference which will be held in Singapore on 18-21 June 201 offers comprehensive insights into leading CBM projects in the Asia- ...
Tuesday, 12 February 13
GOVERNMENT DECLARED INDONESIAN THERMAL COAL PRICE INCHES UP IN FEBRUARY
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government has declared bench mark price for coal has moved upwards in February 2013.
The monthly coal refere ...
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- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
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