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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Wednesday, 20 February 13
BAKRIE GROUP LOOKS TO HAVE A CLEAR UPPER HAND - LUCKY ARIESANDI, CFA
The Bakrie-Rothschild saga is entering its final stage, with Bumi Plc (BUMI LN)’s holders to convene on 21 Feb at 11am GMT to vote on Nat Roth ...
Tuesday, 19 February 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 38.65 PERCENT LESS COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 1,820,559 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 18 February 2013, Newc ...
Monday, 18 February 13
78.75 MILLION TONS OF COAL RESERVES ARE NEWLY PROVEN IN WUGANG HUNAN PROVINCE
COALspot.com - Recently, Wugang City, known as the CHINA hundred key coal producing cities, achieved new breakthroughs in coal exploration: deep coa ...
Sunday, 17 February 13
STEEL DEMAND WILL HELP TO PUSH UP FREIGHT RATES - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - This freight market has been fairly steady week ended 15 February 2013.
The BDI was slightly up by 0.67 pct closing at 753 points ...
Friday, 15 February 13
2ND ANNUAL INDONESIA MINING 2013 CONFERENCE
Bringing Indonesia's Mining Stakeholders Together Towards Improving Mining Investment Climate & Operations
Following the success of th ...
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The University of Queensland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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