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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 07 February 13
CHINA NDRC APPROVED 10 BILLION YUAN POWER GENERATION PROJECTS
NDRC of China currently announced that some of power grid and power station in Jiangxu, Sichuan and Anhui Province would be newly constructed or ext ...
Thursday, 07 February 13
CAPESIZE : MORE ACTIVE WEEK IN THE PACIFIC - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
The Atlantic market remained stable with no significant movement in rates. Rates from USG to FEast were around USD 18k and Black Sea to Feast ...
Thursday, 07 February 13
WEAK STEEL MARKET MEANS IRON ORE RALLY LIKELY TO END SOON - FITCH
The sharp rebound in iron ore prices over the last couple of months will hurt margins at non-integrated steel producers in the first quarter of 2013 ...
Tuesday, 05 February 13
THE SHIPPING SECTOR IS " NAVIGATING IN STORMY WATERS" - PWC
The vulnerabilities of the global economy have been exposed and have more than played their part in making 2011 one of the worst years of shipping i ...
Tuesday, 05 February 13
NEWCASTLE PORT COAL SHIPMENTS DROPPED BY 10.77 PERCENT W-O-W
COALspot.com - Newcastle port in Australia has loaded 2,412,497 MT of thermal and coking coal for week ended 0700 hours 4 February 2013, Newca ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PTC India Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
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