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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 11 November 21
ASIA COAL POWER PIPELINE TO SHRINK BY TWO THIRDS AFTER CHINA FINANCE CUT - REUTERS
Asia’s pipeline of proposed coal-fired power plants is expected to shrink from 65 gigawatts to 22 gigawatts following China’s pledge to ...
Tuesday, 09 November 21
ASIA-PACIFIC IS HOME TO SOME OF THE WORLD'S LARGEST CARBON-EMITTERS - 2 CHARTS SHOW ITS RELIANCE ON COAL - CNBC
Asia-Pacific is home to some of the world’s largest carbon emitters — and experts say much of global efforts to fight climate change de ...
Tuesday, 09 November 21
CHINA DAILY COAL OUTPUT HITS MULTI-YEAR PEAK, PRICES EXPECTED TO FALL - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output hit 11.93 million tonnes last week, a multi-year high as more capacity returned to operation, the state planner sai ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
CHINA'S COAL MARKET SEES SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS: NDRC - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner has declared initial success in its efforts to ensure coal supply and stabilize prices, saying that daily coal o ...
Thursday, 04 November 21
CHINA THERMAL COAL PRICES RISE AFTER FALLING FOR 10 DAYS - REUTERS
China thermal coal futures rebounded on Wednesday after falling for 10 days on an expected jump in fuel demand to meet heating needs amid forecasts ...
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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