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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 24 November 21
WHY THIS MINING ANALYST IS UPBEAT ON THE IRON ORE PRICE FORECAST - MOTLEY FOOL
In many ways, 2021 can be called the year of the iron ore price. Much of the talk of the ASX town this year has revolved around this key economic m ...
Wednesday, 24 November 21
PRICE OF CHINA’S COAL FUTURE DROPS BY 60% AS NATIONWIDE DAILY OUTPUT REACHES OVER 12 MILLION TONS: NDRC - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s daily coal output has now stabilized after reaching over 12 million tons and the price of coal futures has declined to 800 yuan ($125 ...
Friday, 19 November 21
CHINA: COAL SUPPLIES TO STABILIZE FOR COMING COLD SEASON
China is capable of ensuring stable coal supplies this winter and next spring with the increase in coal production and the rising stockpiles at pow ...
Wednesday, 17 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
It has been another declining week for the dry bulk market and evidently, we are seeing asset values gradually losing momentum as well. Following a ...
Tuesday, 16 November 21
EARNINGS RECOVERY IN INDONESIAN COAL TO CONTINUE THROUGH 2021, BUT SLOW IN 2022 - FITCH RATINGS
The recovery in the operating and financial performance of Indonesian coal miners and coal contractors is likely to slow in 2022, but coal prices s ...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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