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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 01 November 21
COAL PRICES HAVE FURTHER ROOM TO DROP: TOP ECONOMIC PLANNER - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s top economic planner said coal prices have further room to drop on Friday, as the most traded coal futures dropped to below 1,000 yua ...
Saturday, 30 October 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICES SEE BIGGEST WEEKLY FALL IN MORE THAN 5 YEARS - REUTERS
China’s coal futures prices saw their biggest fall in more than five years after the powerful state planner said there is still room to adjus ...
Saturday, 30 October 21
G-20 LEADERS PREPARE STATEMENT TO STOP FUNDING FOREIGN COAL PLANTS - BLOOMBERG
Leaders of the Group of 20 wealthy economies are preparing to pledge to stop funding foreign coal-fired plants, but are still wrangling over climat ...
Friday, 29 October 21
APAC THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO REMAIN TIGHT AS WINTER LOOMS - FITCH RATINGS
APAC thermal coal prices have surged, hitting historically high levels. The benchmark Newcastle 6,000kcal/kg grade coal reached USD228/tonne in mid ...
Thursday, 28 October 21
CANADA BAN ON SHIPPING COAL WOULD EQUAL SCRAPPING AS MANY AS 3 MILLION CARS - IEEFA
Canada ban on shipping coal would equal scrapping as many as 3 million cars
Change in Canadian policy could have major implications ...
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Planning Commission, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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