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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 16 November 21
INDONESIA’S 2022 COAL USE FOR POWER GENERATION SET TO RISE 3% - REUTERS
Indonesia’s coal consumption for power generation is likely to rise by 3.1% next year compared to 2021, the head of the country’s state ...
Tuesday, 16 November 21
CHINA'S MONTHLY COAL OUTPUT RISES TO HIGHEST SINCE MARCH 2015 - REUTERS
China’s October coal output rose to the highest since at least March 2015, after Beijing approved a raft of coal mine expansions to tame reco ...
Friday, 12 November 21
RUSSIA-INDIA COKING COAL DEAL UNLIKELY TO IMPACT PANAMAX SHIPPING - DREWRY
Russia and India have recently entered into an agreement whereby Russia will supply up to 40 million tonnes of coking coal to India every year. Dre ...
Friday, 12 November 21
ASIA COAL POWER PIPELINE TO SHRINK BY TWO THIRDS AFTER CHINA FINANCE CUT - REUTERS
Asia’s pipeline of proposed coal-fired power plants is expected to shrink from 65 gigawatts to 22 gigawatts following China’s pledge to ...
Friday, 12 November 21
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE TOPS $215 A TON; THE HIGHEST COAL PRICE IN HISTORY
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference in a steep climb for most of second half of 2021 as it reached a pinnacle of $215.01 in November 2021 ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The University of Queensland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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