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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 26 November 21
CHINA FINDS COMPLIANCE PROBLEMS IN COAL PRICE INDEX PROBE - REUTERS
China’s state planner on Wednesday said it had discovered some “noncompliant” behaviour among coal price index providers as it an ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
SE ASIA POWER DEMAND TO RISE AS STATE SUPPORT MITIGATES COVID-19 IMPACT - FITCH RATINGS
Electricity demand in south-east Asia is likely to increase in 2021, following slow growth or contraction in 2020, thanks to state support that has ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
FITCH RATINGS INCREASES MOST GLOBAL METALS AND MINING PRICE ASSUMPTIONS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings has increased most metals and mining price assumptions, particularly those that benefit from increased longer-term demand due to glob ...
Thursday, 25 November 21
CHINA'S COAL PRICE DROPS IN MID-NOVEMBER AMID GOVERNMENT’S SWEEPING MEASURES - GLOBAL TIMES
China’s coal prices have dropped significantly in mid-November compared with the beginning of the month, with the price of coking coal and co ...
Wednesday, 24 November 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Inflation is the word that has dominated the meetings of foreign leaders and finance ministers in recent weeks, as rising energy costs, supply chai ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
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