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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 10 September 13
COAL EXPORTS AT AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SLIP 30.31% ON WEEK TO 2.36 MMT
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port down 30.31 per cent week on week to 2.36 million mt f ...
Tuesday, 10 September 13
WORLDWIDE COAL CONSUMPTION RISES SHARPLY - RA DR. ERICH SCHMITZ
By: RA Dr. Erich Schmitz, Verein der Kohlenimporteure (Germany Coal Importers Association)
World hard coal market in the first half of 2013: worl ...
Monday, 09 September 13
REBOUND IN NEWBUILDING ORDERS HASN'T HURT DRY BULK MARKET PROSPECTS, BUT SHIP OWNERS SHOULD STILL BE CAUTIOUS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Since the start of 2013 and up until the end of August, one thing has really caught the headlines in the dry bulk market, except of course, the frei ...
Sunday, 08 September 13
Q3 2014 THERMAL COAL SWAPS : STEADY DIRECTION
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery up 1.88 percent month on month. The swap was moved ...
Sunday, 08 September 13
BALTIC INDEX UP ON HIGHER CAPESIZE, PANAMAX RATES
COALspot.com : The freight market continued saw one of the biggest rally last week with Cape Size taking the lead followed by Panamax.
The BDI wa ...
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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