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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 12 September 13
PANAMAX : PACIFIC ROUNDS ARE NOW REPORTED BETWEEN USD 13K AND 15K PER DAY - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
Nickel ore is a key support SE Asia/Feast rate at the moment; vessel in N.China were fixed around USD 11-12k, ships in mid China can expect a ...
Thursday, 12 September 13
CAPESIZE MARKET WILL BECOME EVEN TIGHTER - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
COALspot.com : While it is no secret that current capesize availability has become tight and has caused capesize rates to surge, availability is set ...
Thursday, 12 September 13
OVER THE WORST? WE MIGHT FIND OUT THIS WEEK - BIMCO
The shipping market has a spring in its step, even as summer draws to a close. There is it seems, confidence that finally, we are emerging into the ...
Thursday, 12 September 13
DRY BULK MARKET RALLY COMES AT A GOOD TIME FOR MOST SHIP OWNERS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The latest surge of the dry bulk market has helped offset other lingering factors, which otherwise, could have plunged freight rates to new lows. Fo ...
Wednesday, 11 September 13
ASIA - PACIFIC THERMAL COAL MARKET TO REMAIN OVERSUPPLIED IN NEXT 12 MONTHS - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings says the Asia-Pacific thermal coal market will remain oversupplied in the next 12 months because strong production has b ...
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
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