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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 16 September 13
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: STABLE TO STEADY
COALspot.com : SGX has launched API 8 CFR South China Coal Swap on 29 April 2013 and SGX replaced the previous swap.
API 8 CFR South China Coal s ...
Monday, 16 September 13
INDONESIAN SUB-BIT COAL SWAP STRUGGLING TO FINDS THE RIGHT PATH
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery down 0.75 percept month on month on Friday 13 Septe ...
Sunday, 15 September 13
CAPE FREIGHT RATES RISE ON HIGH DEMAND AND TIGHT AVAILABILITY - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com : The BDI, Cape and Panamax indices are continued to rise and saw a steep surge with average index in these segments up around 25 pct w ...
Friday, 13 September 13
US COAL OUTPUT SLIPS 3.34% ON-WEEK
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 20.20 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Friday, 13 September 13
DIRECTOR GENERAL OF MINERAL AND COAL OF INDONESIA REVISED UP COAL PRICE REFERENCE TO US$ 76.89
COALspot. com - The Indonesian government has revised up its owned coal bench mark price by US$ 0.19/ MT to US$ 76.89 for September 2013 deliveries ...
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- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Planning Commission, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
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