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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 06 September 13
DRY BULK MARKET REACHES NEW YEAR-HIGHS ON THE BACK OF INCREASED CAPESIZE DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has been on the rise once again, but this time around any new increase of freight rates translates into new year-highs, thus bri ...
Friday, 06 September 13
US PRODUCED APPROXIMATELY 90.80 MMST OF COAL IN AUGUST
COALspot.com – United states the world’s second largest coal producer produced totaled approximately 20.90 million short tons (mmst) of ...
Thursday, 05 September 13
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORTS UP BY 6.72 PERCENT IN JULY
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world's largest multi grade coal exporter shipped 35.268* million tons of coal in July 2013. Indonesian coal exp ...
Thursday, 05 September 13
HANDY: NICKEL ORE WAS PUSHING THE FAR EAST MARKET - FEARNLEYS
Handy
Nickel Ore was pushing the Feast market, several ships were fixed from low teens to $14k. Indo/India was still supported by bauxite, while th ...
Thursday, 05 September 13
DRY BULK MARKET ON A HIGH ROLL, MAINLY THANKS TO CAPESIZE APPETITE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Capesize owners have been rejoycing on the back of renewed optimism for the further rise in the dry bulk market's freight rates, especially when on ...
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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