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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 12 October 13
PANAMAX: OWNERS ARE AT US$ 17-18.5K PER DAY; CHARTERERS ARE AT US$ 15.5-16K - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - The futures market was heavily down on the cape size vessels and the physical average charterer rates on cape size vessels dropped by ...
Friday, 11 October 13
DRY BULK FREIGHT RATE POSITIVE MOMENTUM TO BE SUPPORTED BY HIGHER DEMAND SAYS BIMCO - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
BIMCO released its latest short term research on the shipping markets, estimating that the elevated level of Capesize TC average rates i ...
Friday, 11 October 13
US COAL PRODUCTION FALLS 7.70% IN SEPTEMBER
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer produced approximately 17.70 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 10 October 13
NPC AUSTRALIA SHIPPED 2.99 MILLION TONS OF COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port up 12.04 per cent week on week to 2.99 million mt for ...
Thursday, 10 October 13
SEVERAL PANAMAX FIXTURES FOR 1 YEAR TC HAVE BEEN REPORTED AROUND $13.5K/DAY - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
The market is not much fancy as several holidays in the Far East last week. Tonnage side seems tight in SE Asia but there are many of them in ...
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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