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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 09 October 13
PANAMAX: FIRM ; FIXING ACTIVITY INCREASED IN BOTH BASINS - INTERMODAL
This was another week of gains for the Dry Bulk market, albeit very modest ones compared to the previous ones. Charterers and owners struggled for t ...
Tuesday, 08 October 13
CHINA: INTENSE COMPETITION AMONG DOMESTIC COAL MINERS AS 2013 IMPORT DEMAND REMAINS STRONG - WOOD MACKENZIE
Prices will not fall under RMB500/t or risk supply availability to the coastal market
Despite China's lower economic growth, Wood Mackenzie says ...
Monday, 07 October 13
RICHARD BAY COAL TERMINAL SHIPPED 49.94 MMT OF COAL YTD
COALspot.com - Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT), the world's single largest coal terminal has shipped 49,946,509 mt of coals YTD, according to por ...
Monday, 07 October 13
SOUTH AFRICA'S RBCT SHIPPED 7.94% MORE COAL IN SEPT' 13
COALspot.com - Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT), the single largest coal export terminal in South Africa as well as in the world has shipped 7.94 p ...
Monday, 07 October 13
SGX - CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS END ALMOST FLAT
COALspot.com : SGX has launched API 8 CFR South China Coal Swap on 29 April 2013 and SGX replaced the previous swap.
API 8 CFR South China Coal s ...
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Coal Association
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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