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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 16 October 13
NEW STRATEGIES AND OPPORTUNITIES IN A RAPIDLY EVOLVING COAL INDUSTRY
The 12th Annual Coal Markets assumes even more significance as the industry seeks more market information, inputs on trade strategies, supply and de ...
Wednesday, 16 October 13
CAPES: RATES DROPPED; PANAMAX: ADVANCED - INTERMODAL
After a month and a half of straight weekly positive closings, the BDI has finished the week in the red. Monday started slow as holidays in the East ...
Wednesday, 16 October 13
WILL THIS LATEST DRY BULK MARKET UPTREND PROVE TO BE AS LONG-LIVED OR JUST ANOTHER MOMENTARY SPIKE? - CHRISTOS MANZTIOS
COALspot.com: So here we are again facing the same old question: Will this latest market uptrend prove to be as long-lived as all owners hope or jus ...
Wednesday, 16 October 13
KOSEP TO IMPORT 0.49 MILLION TONS OF 4600 NAR COAL FOR JAN - FEB '14
COALspot.com - Korea South-East Power Co., a Korean generator and distributor of electricity on behalf of five Korean Gencos intends to procure 490, ...
Tuesday, 15 October 13
CHINA COAL IMPORTS TO KEEP GROWING IN THE YEARS TO COME, ALBEIT AT A SLOWER RATE - EVA TZIMA / NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
In its latest monthly report, shipbroker Intermodal highlighted the growing role of coal in the energy mix. According to Intermodal's research anal ...
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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