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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 15 October 13
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 6.50% MORE COAL W-O-W
COALspot.com: Power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from Australia's Newcastle port up 6.50 per cent week on week to 3.19 million mt for ...
Monday, 14 October 13
MEMR OF INDONESIA SETS THE COAL'S SPOT PRICE AT US$ 76.61 FOR OCT'13 DELIVERY
COALspot. com - The Indonesian government has revised down government declared coal bench mark price by US$ 0.28/ MT to US$ 76.61 for October 2013 d ...
Monday, 14 October 13
CARBON POLICIES UNLIKELY TO PREVENT A COAL-FUELLED WORLD - WOOD MACKENZIE
China will propel coal growth but US, Europe and Asia will sustain global demand.
At the World Energy Congress (WEC) today Wood Mackenzie's Pres ...
Sunday, 13 October 13
Q4'13 DELIVERY SUB-BIT INDO COAL SWAP FALLS SEVEN STRAIGHT WEEK
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery fell 1.72 percept month on month on Friday 11 October 201 ...
Sunday, 13 October 13
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL - AVERAGE Q4 2013 DELIVERY FELL 0.30 PERCEPT ON WEEK
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q4 2013 delivery fell 0.30 percept week on week on Friday 11 October 2013. The CFR South ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
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