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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 22 October 13
KOWEPO INVITED BIDS FOR MULTI GRADE COAL
COALspot.com - Korea Western Power Co., Ltd. (KOWEPO), a Korean electricity generator intends to procure 240,000 tons of multi grade coal for its Ta ...
Monday, 21 October 13
SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR 2014 DELIVERIES SHOW A POSITIVE TREND
COALspot.com : API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q4 2013 delivery fell 0.02 percept M-M on Friday 18 October 2013. The CFR South China Co ...
Sunday, 20 October 13
Q3'14 SUB-BIT INDO COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 61.80 PMT W/E 18 OCT' 13
COALspot.com – Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swap (FOB ) for average Q4 2013 delivery fell 0.93 percept month on month on Friday 18 October 201 ...
Saturday, 19 October 13
NICKEL ORE SHIPMENTS KEEP SUPRAMAX CHARTER RATES STEADY - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com : The futures freight market continued to go down which was reflected in the physical markets as well.
The BDI continued to be soft ...
Friday, 18 October 13
WOOD MACKENZIE FORECASTS CHINA WILL OUTWEIGH THE REST OF THE WORLD FOR BASE METALS DEMAND BY 2017
China set to account for 52% of 117mt base metals market by 2017
China is on track to exceed rest of the World demand by 2017, becoming the singl ...
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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