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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 04 December 13
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORTS VOLUME AND REVENUE IN OCTOBER MARCHED TOWARDS NORTH
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the world's 4th largest coal producer and the largest multi grade coal exporter shipped over $1.76* billion worth of ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
WEST AUSTRALIA IRON ORE FIXTURES ALSO CONTINUING TO PROVIDE A STEADY FLOW OF BUSINESS FOR CAPES - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market has reversed course this past week, bringing back some of the lost excitement of the past month, as all size segments climbed hi ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
THE BUYERS' DEMAND IS CONTINUOUSLY BULLISH - KONSTANTINOS KONTOMICHIS
The very low rates that prevailed for the bigger part of 2013 seem to have prepared the ground for buying opportunities for shipping investors. The ...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
SGX AND CFA TO COLLABORATE TO DEVELOP DERIVATIVES MARKETS IN CHINA AND SINGAPORE
Singapore Exchange (SGX) and the China Futures Association (CFA) are cooperating in the development of derivatives markets in China and Singapore.
...
Wednesday, 04 December 13
SGX'S MONTHLY VOLUMES REACHED A RECORD HIGH OF 705,000 MT IN NOVEMBER 2013
COALspot.com: SGX has announced that, it monthly volumes have reached a record high of 705 lots (705,000 mt) in November 2013 with month-end open in ...
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- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The University of Queensland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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