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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Thursday, 20 February 14
SUPRAMAX: IN ASIA IS IMPROVING SIGNIFICANTLY AND TURNED FROM APS TO DOP MARKET
Handy
The activity is back in the market after Chinese holidays. Supramax in Asia is improving significantly and turned from APS to DOP market. We ...
Wednesday, 19 February 14
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 30% MORE COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 17 February 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, totalled ...
Tuesday, 18 February 14
PERUVIAN HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR MINING AFFAIRS WILL BE KEY NOTE SPEAKER AT THE COLOMBIAN COAL CONFERENCE 2014
Press Release: The High Commissioner for Mining Affairs in the Presidency of the Peruvian Council of Ministers, General (R) Daniel Urresti Elera, ha ...
Monday, 17 February 14
US COAL PRODUCTION IN 2013 FELL TO ITS LOWEST LEVEL IN 20 YEARS
COALspot.com: U.S coal production for 2013 totaled an estimated 996 million short tons (MMst), 21 MMst (2%) lower than in 2012. It is the first time ...
Monday, 17 February 14
Q1 2015 COAL SWAPS CLOSED $ 2.21 HIGHER THAN Q2 2014 SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 delivery lost 3.16 percent month on month and closed at US$ 76.12 per mt as o ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Planning Commission, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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