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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 16 February 14
SUPRAMAX : THE FAR EAST/SE ASIA CHARTER RATES FIRMED UP
COALspot.com: The freight market had a mixed reaction this week with BDI increased by 1.37 pct and closing at 1106 points on Valentine day. The cape ...
Friday, 14 February 14
US COAL PRODUCTION STILL SLIPPING
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, produced approximately 17.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Thursday, 13 February 14
PANAMAX : NOT ENOUGH REQUIREMENTS TO KEEP THE ATLANTIC MARKET FLOATING - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
After the Chinese holidays the week started on a positive note. Owners are talking higher rates but chrtrs are still somehow reluctant to mov ...
Thursday, 13 February 14
DRY BULK MARKET FACES BETTER PROSPECTS ON THE BACK OF IMPROVING DEMAND AND SUPPLY BALANCE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has started off the New Year on the "left foot", with the strong finish of 2013 proving to be unsustainable, on the ba ...
Wednesday, 12 February 14
NEW BUILDING ORDERS REACHING NEW POST-CRISIS HEIGHTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Ship owners are looking to take advantage of the last few attractive deals in the new building market, before prices start climbing to new highs and ...
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
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