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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 24 February 14
DRY BULK MARKET TO IMPROVE OVER THE COURSE OF 2014, BUT OVERSUPPLY STILL AN ISSUE SAYS BIMCO'S CHIEF SHIPPING ANALYST
As a gruelling first quarter edges closer to the end, dry bulk ship owners are looking at an improved second quarter demand, which, coupled with slo ...
Monday, 24 February 14
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL SWAP FOR DELIVERY APRIL - JUNE 2014 SLIDES TO $ 58.60 PMT
COALspot.com – Indonesia, the world’s the largest exporter of the thermal coal's swaps for delivery April - June 2014 slide week ended ...
Monday, 24 February 14
Q1 2015 DELIVERY COAL SWAP CLOSED AT 2.62% HIGHER THAN Q2 2014 CLOSING SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 2.68 percent month on month and closed at US$ 76.20 per mt as on Fr ...
Saturday, 22 February 14
SHIPPING POISED TO RALLY AFTER SEVERAL WEEKS OF DROP
COALspot.com: The freight market was steady to firm with the dry bulk index up by 6.24 pct closing at 1,175 points week on week and the cape index w ...
Saturday, 22 February 14
POTEN RAISES THE QUESTION OF ACCURACY IN CALCULATING TANKER FREIGHT RATES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the tanker market has grown in complexity over the course of the past few years, the question of whether the traditional methods of assessing rat ...
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Planning Commission, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The University of Queensland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Coal Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
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