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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 21 February 14
INDONESIA PLAN TO CAP COAL OUTPUT AND HIKE ROYALTY; START MUSIC
COALspot.com: Energy and Mineral Resources Ministy of Indonesia is planning to increase the royalty for coal miners particularly for Mining Business ...
Friday, 21 February 14
THE WORLD'S SECOND LARGEST COAL MINER MINED 19.2 MMST OF COAL IN A WEEK, EIA SAYS
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer, mined approximately 19.2 million short tons (mmst) of coal in a w ...
Friday, 21 February 14
DRY BULK MARKET SHOWS SIGNS OF LIFE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has slowly started to emerge from the downfall it's been since the start of the year, as rates have began to pick up over the c ...
Friday, 21 February 14
INDONESIA COAL OUTPUT CAP TO HURT MINERS RELIANT ON VOLUME GROWTH, FITCH SAYS
Fitch Ratings says that the credit profiles of mining sub-contractors and miners highly reliant on increasing volumes to support high debt servicing w ...
Thursday, 20 February 14
LENGTHY DELAYS TO PANAMA CANAL EXPANSION POSE GLOBAL TRADE RISKS; US COAL PRODUCERS TO GREATLY BENEFIT ONCE COMPLETE, SAYS WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie expects the recent cost overrun disputes around the Panama Canal expansion to be resolved with limited disruption due to the signific ...
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Planning Commission, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
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