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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 08 April 14
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 2.90 MMT OF POWER PLANT AND SEMI-SOFT COKING COAL IN A WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 7 April 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensla ...
Tuesday, 08 April 14
RBCT SHIPPED 53.79% MORE COAL IN MARCH 2014
COALspot.com: South Africa's Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) the single largest export coal terminal in the world, shipped 6.90 million to ...
Tuesday, 08 April 14
APRIL 2014 INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE DROPS TO LOWEST SINCE JANUARY 2010
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia has revised down again the coal bench mark price by US$ 2.20 / MT to ...
Tuesday, 08 April 14
TALKING ABOUT A ONE-HORSE RACE - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Ever since the onslaught of the financial crisis, China along with the other BRIICs, have played a pivotal role in supporting global economic gr ...
Monday, 07 April 14
WEEKLY SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLAIMS EDGE FALL; TREND NEGATIVE
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q4’ 2014 lost on month, day and on week according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports ...
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Australian Coal Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
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