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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 02 April 14
BPI BREAKING BELOW THE 1,000 PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS - INTERMODAL
Any resistance put forth by the Dry Bulk market the week prior was succumbed this time round. All indices slid and losses were noted across the ...
Tuesday, 01 April 14
NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 11.95 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN MARCH 2014
COALspot.com: In the week ended 31 March 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, total 2 ...
Monday, 31 March 14
SHIPPING CONFIDENCE HITS HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE 2008 - MOORE STEPHENS
Overall confidence levels in the shipping industry rose to their highest level for almost six years in the three-month period to February 2014, ...
Monday, 31 March 14
COAL SWAP FOR Q1 2015 DELIVERY HAS CLOSED 4.76% HIGHER COMPARED Q2 14 CLOSING
COALspot.com – Indonesia, the world’s largest exporter of the thermal coal's swaps for delivery April - June 2014 gained this pa ...
Monday, 31 March 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q2 14 DELIVERY LOST 1.17% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 1.17 percent month on month and closed at US$ 75.38 per m ...
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The University of Queensland
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
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