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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 07 April 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS GAINED 2.09% M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries gained 2.09 percent month on month and closed at US$ 75.68 per ...
Sunday, 06 April 14
THE FREIGHT MARKET KEEPS SLIDING
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to drop this week. The BDI (Baltic Dry Index) is a widely followed metric that reflects the overall r ...
Friday, 04 April 14
UNITED STATES COAL OUTPUT UP 5.4% IN PAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
Thursday, 03 April 14
PANAMAX SECTOR IS WATCHING A SEVERE DROP IN RATES - FEARNLEYS
Handy
A further weaker sentiment for the Supras as well in both hemispheres this week with oversupply of tonnage being the major headline. Tra ...
Wednesday, 02 April 14
CHINA: ARBITRATION CLAUSES IN BILLS OF LADING UNDER CHINESE LEGAL PRACTICE - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Successful incorporation of a charterparty arbitration clause into the bills of lading is not a straight forward matte ...
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- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
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