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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 15 April 14
NEWCASTLE SHIPPED MORE COAL WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 14 April 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensl ...
Monday, 14 April 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDO COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 60.12 PER MT
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q4’ 2014 gain on month and on week according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports rele ...
Monday, 14 April 14
INDONESIA'S Q1 COAL PRODUCTION LITTLE CHANGED EVEN WITH PRICE DROP - INVESTOR DAILY
Indonesia’s coal production by volume in the first quarter remained little changed from the same period last year despite the decline in t ...
Monday, 14 April 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS GAIN FOR THE MONTH & WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries gained 4.61 percent month on month and closed at US$ 76.18 per mt as ...
Monday, 14 April 14
CHINA'S MEASURES TO STIMULATE ECONOMY'S GROWTH COULD OFFER ROOM FOR STABILITY IN SHIPPING MARKETS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Since the outbreak of the 2008-crisis, the shipping industry, in most of its aspects, i.e. dry bulk and tanker markets alike, has been dealing w ...
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
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