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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 20 May 14
NEWCASTLE'S COAL EXPORT VOLUME UP 39.11 PERCENT WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 19 May 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensland, ...
Tuesday, 20 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET TO IMPROVE OVER THE COURSE OF 2014, BUT OVERSUPPLY STILL AN ISSUE SAYS BIMCO'S CHIEF SHIPPING ANALYST
As a gruelling first quarter edges closer to the end, dry bulk ship owners are looking at an improved second quarter demand, which, coupled with sl ...
Tuesday, 20 May 14
DRY BULK MARKET IS BOUND FOR A RECOVERY CLAIMS PARAGON SHIPPING'S HEAD MICHAEL BODOUROGLOU
The dry bulk market is bound for a recovery in the coming weeks, as the market will be better balanced, said Mr. Michael Bodouroglou, Chairman and ...
Monday, 19 May 14
INDO COAL SWAPS FOR AVERAGE Q3' 2014 DELIVERY LOST ON WEEK AND ON MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average Q3’ 2014 lost on week and on month according to AsiaClear OTC coal swap's reports release ...
Monday, 19 May 14
API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL LOST 2.49% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q3 14 deliveries lost 2.49 percent month on month and closed at US$ 74.35 per mt as on F ...
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- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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