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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 22 September 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS LOST ON DAY, WEEK AND MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in October 2014 decreased US$ 3.10 (-4.50%) month over month and $ 0.95 PT MT week over ...
Monday, 22 September 14
INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS LOST WEEK ON WEEK AND MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for average October 2014 increased US$ 0.35 (+0.69%) day on day and lost US$ 0.30 (-0.58%) per mt week on week. ...
Sunday, 21 September 14
CAPE INDEX LOST 17% W-O-W ; BALTIC DRY PLUNGES 106 POINTS
COALspot.com: This week the freight market softened a bit compared to last week.
BDI fell 8.97% week on week and closed BDI at 1075 points on ...
Friday, 19 September 14
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION RELATIVELY FLAT AT +0.1% - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.20 million short tons (mmst) of coal in ...
Friday, 19 September 14
PRICES FOR DRY BULK CARRIERS HAVEN'T CORRECTED ENOUGH, DESPITE LOWER THAN EXPECTED FREIGHT RATES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
A lot has been said and written about the looming dry bulk market recovery over the past few months. However, even if this hasn’t been materi ...
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Planning Commission, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Economic Council, Georgia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
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