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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 14 November 14
MORE NATURAL GAS FROM RUSSIA TO HELP STABILISE CHINA PRICES - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings has said possible additional natural gas supplies from Russia's OAO Gazprom to China via the Altai pipeline would h ...
Thursday, 13 November 14
SLOWER AND LOWER HAS BEEN THE TREND OF THE PANAMAX IN BOTH HEMISPHERES - FEARNLEYS
Handy
We are experiencing an oversupply of tonnage in the Atlantic which is out numbering the amount of cargoes, Fearnleys broker says in its lat ...
Thursday, 13 November 14
DRY BULK MARKET'S REBOUND HINGES ON IRON ORE OVERSUPPLY ISSUES MOVING FORWARD - HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
“One man’s benefit, is another man’s demise” is a phrase which can be used to describe today’s situation in the dry b ...
Thursday, 13 November 14
COAL MINISTER WANTS INDIA TO STOP COAL IMPORTS IN TWO OR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: India to ramp up coal production to a billion tonnes by 2019 from its current level of 490 million tones. According to Power and Coal ...
Thursday, 13 November 14
MODERN DRY BULK SHIPS' PRICES START FIRMING UP - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
While the main story of the past few weeks has been the rebound of the dry bulk market, which has been a result of increased Chinese iron ore impor ...
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- The University of Queensland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Planning Commission, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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