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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 17 November 14
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE CONTINUES FREE FALL; SLUMPS TO 69-MONTH LOW
COALspot.com - The Ministry of Energy & Mineral Resources of Indonesia revised down the coal bench mark price once again in November. HBA for t ...
Monday, 17 November 14
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $ 52.75
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 1.77 (-3.25%) month over month and US$ 0.02 (-0.04%) day ...
Monday, 17 November 14
SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY INCREASED WEEK OVER WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 1.73 (-2.67%) month over month and US$ 0.10 (-0.16%) da ...
Sunday, 16 November 14
THE BDI LOST 12.59% WEEK ON WEEK; THE BCI LOST 19.95%
COALspot.com: The BDI fell 12.59 percent to 1256 point week on week on Friday 14 November. All the segments were also most down this week. The cape ...
Friday, 14 November 14
U.S. WEEKLY COAL OUTPUT SLIPS SLIGHTLY WEEK ENDING NOVEMBER 08
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 18.9 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
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