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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 18 November 14
VALEMAX DEAL TO DETERMINE DRY BULK MARKET'S FATE - DREWRY MARITIME RESEARCH
Vale’s accord to sell and lease four Valemax vessels to COSCO might have negative repercussions on dry bulk freight rates. Vale has committed ...
Tuesday, 18 November 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP DELIVERY Q2' 2015 CLOSED AT $ 49.55; DOWN 4.10% M-O-M
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, gained week on week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US ...
Tuesday, 18 November 14
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT $ 66.31; UP 1.33% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has gained US$ 0.27 (+0.41%) month over month and US$ 0.87 (+1.33%) week ...
Tuesday, 18 November 14
CHEAP OIL PRICES COULD RESHAPE GLOBAL OIL EXPORTING MAP - HELLENIC SHIPPING
Tanker owners have enjoyed a rather healthy 2014, but as the year draws to a close, the fall of oil prices is bound to reshape traditional, as well ...
Monday, 17 November 14
SKULD ISSUES URGENT NOTICE ON BANKRUPTCY OF OW BUNKER A/S
Further to the Association’s advices of 7 November 2014, more information has come to light with respect to the potential impact and scale of ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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