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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 05 December 14
CHINESE SPECIAL STEEL MAKERS' RISK PROFILES MORE RESILIENT - FITCH
Fitch Ratings says the risk profiles of Chinese makers of special steel, especially high-end products, are more like those of manufacturers and mor ...
Friday, 05 December 14
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION REACHED AROUND 905 MMST - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
Thursday, 04 December 14
CAPE MARKET IS DEVELOPING FROM BAD TO WORSE
Handy
The Atlantic market has been pretty stable and balanced this week, Fearnleys AS says in its latest weekly report.
The broker furt ...
Thursday, 04 December 14
DRY BULK MARKET; ANOTHER DISAPPOINTING WEEK
COALspot.com: For those who have been hoping to see alignment of freight direction across the Dry Bulk market, this must have been another disappoi ...
Wednesday, 03 December 14
PROGRESSING SMELTER PROJECTS IN INDONESIA
Press Release: Indonesia’s ban on ‘raw mineral export’ that was designed to encouraging downstream investment in mineral processi ...
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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