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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Tuesday, 02 December 14
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS LOST MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week on week and day over day.
The Q1 swap has lost U ...
Tuesday, 02 December 14
SUB-BIT FOB INDONESIA COAL Q1' 15 DELIVERY SWAP CLOSED AT US$ 49.50
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1' 2015 lost month on month, week over week and day on day.
The Q1 swap has lost US$ 0.4 ...
Monday, 01 December 14
SGX'S FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 52.50
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.50 on 28 November after losing US$ 1.20 (-2.23%) month ove ...
Monday, 01 December 14
Q2' 15 DELIVERY CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP CLOSED 0.42% LOWER THAN Q1' 15 DELIVERY CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 2.45 (-3.78%) month over month and US$ 0.67 (-1.06%) we ...
Sunday, 30 November 14
SUPRAMAX COAL FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA : FIRM
COALspot.com: The BDI fell 171 points and closed at 1153 points on Friday 28 November 2014. The Cape index also lost 887 points and closed at 2151 ...
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
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