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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 05 January 15
FIVE ENERGY SURPRISES FOR 2015: THE POSSIBLE AND THE IMPROBABLE - KURT COBB
The coming year is likely to be as full of surprises in the field of energy as 2014 was. We just don't know which surprises! I am not predictin ...
Monday, 05 January 15
THE SHIPPING MARKET IN 2014 AND LOOKING FORWARD - BIMCO
2014 started with plenty of optimism for a considerably better global economy and an improved shipping market. Things turned out somewhat different ...
Monday, 05 January 15
API 5 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1'15 DELIVERY CLOSED US$ 0.45 HIGHER COMPARED TO Q2'15 CLOSING
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 0.60 per MT (-1.15%) month over month and gained US$ 0.02 (+0.04%) ...
Sunday, 04 January 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX CONTINUES ITS DECLINE IN 2015
Wish you all a very Happy New Year 2015. The last report was dated 19th Dec 2014 and due to Christmas and new year holidays no reports were publish ...
Saturday, 03 January 15
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION FELL 11.2% TO 17.6 MMST WEEK OVER WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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