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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Sunday, 11 January 15
BDI DECLINED 8% ON WEEK; BCI LOST 31%
COALspot.com: The BDI continued its decline in the first week of this year or lost 8 pct week over week. The BDI was closed at 709 points whi ...
Friday, 09 January 15
U.S. EASTERN SPOT STEAM COAL PRICES FELL IN 2014; ROSE IN WEST - EIA
U.S. Eastern spot steam coal prices declined in 2014 compared to 2013 levels because of a decline in steam coal exports.
According to U.S. Ene ...
Friday, 09 January 15
WEEKLY U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP AN ESTIMATED 2.2% Y-O-Y
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 08 January 15
INDONESIA PRESSES ON WITH HIGHER COAL ROYALTY FEE TO BOOST STATE REVENUE - JG
The Indonesian government is pressing on with its plan to raise the royalty charged to coal miners in order to increase state revenue, but the move ...
Wednesday, 07 January 15
FUEL EFFICIENT SHIPS MAKE LESS SENSE IN LOWER BUNKER PRICE MARKET, BUT FUEL COSTS ARE BOUND TO RISE AGAIN
The shipping industry entered 2015 on mixed emotions, as a relatively buoyant tanker market is met by a rather lackluster dry bulk market. Still, a ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- The University of Queensland
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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